ON February 22, the 90 or so members of the NFU will be presented with a clear choice as they gather in a stuffy Birmingham hotel room to elect their president for the next two years.
To vote for Peter Kendall. Or nobody.
Mr Kendall is expected to win.
The nominations for the three NFU officeholder positions – which also reveal that Mr Kendall’s deputy Meurig Raymond faces only two challengers for his post – must reflect, in part, a satisfaction with the current rude health of the NFU and the job being done by its leadership.
Mr Kendall has his critics, most vociferously from within the South West livestock community.
But most people connected to the NFU – including many for whom his hi-tech, sustainable intensification vision of farming does not sit easily – acknowledge the excellent job he has done over the past six years.
He has led with authority, been a superb communicator of his positive, progressive farming message and undoubtedly has the ear of Government, as the recent Oxford Ministerial speeches show.
Mr Raymond has also been seen as an effective number two, albeit operating on a much lower profile.
As some posters on our website put it this week, ‘if ain’t broke…’
Why change a winning team, particularly – as both president and deputy have pointed out – with two ‘massive’ unresolved issues in the form of CAP reform and bovine TB still to grapple with?
Nonetheless, the absence of even a single challenger to Mr Kendall – not even a Handley or a Mead, let alone a Raymond or a Jones – has raised questions this week about the state of democracy within the NFU (after all, even Vladamir Putin will face some challengers when he stands for the Russian presidency the following month!).
None of these questions is bigger than who will succeed Mr Kendall when he does finally step down, probably – but not, he insists, definitely – in two year’s time?
The lack of competition appears to betray doubts among the leading candidates themselves, and the voting council, about their ability to fill Mr Kendall’s shoes?
Practical considerations come into it, too, as one potential candidate told me. He highlighted the commitment required to even stand for election. The hustings alone demand a whole week away from the farm business – a possible deterrent for some.
The ‘farm business versus NFU’ question has a wider context. Serving as an officeholder leaves little time to focus on the business. Another council member – who would appear to be a prime candidate for future leader – recently told me he simply could not spare the time away from his business to do the job. Only those willing and able to effectively step away from their business can do the job.
There is not much the NFU could do about that.
But a more uncomfortable complaint for the NFU, which traditionally faces calls for one-member, one-vote at election time, is about the electoral process itself.
There have been dark mutterings, notably from ex-livestock chairman and Devon farmer Richard Haddock, of a cosy ‘stitch up’ between the council and leadership to maintain the status quo.
It’s not just the permanently disgruntled who want change. Commenting on our website this week, Guy Smith, who, unlike Mr Haddock, remains close to the NFU hierarchy, called for a re-think of the electoral process, arguing that NFU democracy is ‘no longer fit for purpose’.
This debate is much more about the future than the present, which appears in good hands.
It is therefore significant that a much healthier seven names will appear on the ballot paper for the vice president slot, where Gwyn Jones will have to defend his position against, among others, livestock chairman Alistair Mackintosh and former VP Paul Temple, who is also standing for deputy.
The races for deputy and vice president could yet spice up the February elections – as Mr Temple said, they are all about who will be the next president of the NFU.
Who said democracy was dead?
What do you think? Are the NFU nominations a sign that all is well? Or is reform needed?
@alistairdriver